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Assessment of macro and bank-specific determinants of non-performing loans: Evidence from Portugal and Spain
University West, School of Business, Economics and IT.
University West, School of Business, Economics and IT.
2023 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This paper analyzes determinants of non-performing loans for 12 commercial banks in Portugal and Spain based on annual data between 2005 and 2021, a period that reflects significant changes in the economy. Our purpose is to understand which macro and bankspecific variables significantly impact Iberian banks’ balance sheets and provide deeper insight into non-performing loans as a measure of the fragility of the banking system. For the panel data sample, we implemented a random effects estimation method and the investigation showed that problematic loans for Portugal and Spain are strongly affected by the economic slowdown, proxied by a positive relationship with unemployment and inflation rate from the previous period. Lagged non-performing loans ratio also has a strong positive influence on the performance of current non-performing loans. When investigating bank-specific factors, this research found evidence of a significant negative relationship with bank profitability and capital adequacy, as well as a weak positive effect of loan growth in non-performing loans. 

 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2023. , p. 32
Keywords [en]
Non-performing loans, macroeconomic determinants, bank-specific determinants, panel data regression, financial stability, banking system 
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hv:diva-20190Local ID: EXF800OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hv-20190DiVA, id: diva2:1774924
Subject / course
Nationalekonomi
Educational program
Magister i finans
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2023-06-28 Created: 2023-06-26 Last updated: 2023-06-28Bibliographically approved

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