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Vilka faktorer påverkar den svenska kronan?: en jämförelse mellan kronan, dollarn och euron
University West, School of Business, Economics and IT, Divison of Law, Economics, Statistics and Politics.
University West, School of Business, Economics and IT, Divison of Law, Economics, Statistics and Politics.
2020 (Swedish)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This paper examines which factors affects the Swedish currency using the exchange rate for SEK/EURO and SEK/Dollar during the period 2000 to 2019. With inspiration from previous research and well-known models, five different variables are tested to explain the exchange rate for long and short term. This is done by testing the data in a cointegration test and with the Error Correction model. The result from the studies shows that price level for Sweden together with interest rate, money supply and the current account balance against the world for eurozone, has a positive relationship with the exchange rate for SEK/EURO. This infer that a depreciation of the Swedish krona is caused by an increase in these variables in the long-term. The exchange rate for SEK/Dollar shows that the dependent variable has a positive relationship with the American interest rate and money supply. This explains that a depreciation of the Swedish Krona is caused by higher interest rates and increased money supply in the long-term.

Abstract [sv]

Denna uppsats undersöker vilka faktorer som påverkar den svenska valutan med hjälp av växelkursen SEK/EURO respektive SEK/Dollar under perioden 2000 till 2019. Med inspiration från tidigare forskning och omtalade modeller testas fem olika variabler för att förklara växelkursen på lång sikt och kort sikt. Detta görs genom att testa datan i ett kointegrationstest och i felkorrigeringsmodellen ECM. Studiens resultat visar att prisnivån för Sverige samt statsobligationsräntan, penningmängden och bytesbalansen mot omvärlden för euroområdet har ett positivt samband med växelkursen SEK/EURO. Det innebär att en depreciering av den svenska kronan orsakas genom en ökning av dessa variabler på lång sikt. Växelkursen SEK/Dollar visar på att den beroende variabeln har ett positivt samband med statsobligationsräntan och penningmängden. Det innebär att en försvagning av den svenska kronan orsakas av högre räntor eller ökad penningmängd på lång sikt.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2020. , p. 41
Keywords [en]
Swedish currency, exchange rate, models, cointegration test, Error Correction model
Keywords [sv]
Svenska valutan, växelkursen, modeller, kointegrationstest felkorrigeringsmodell
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hv:diva-15550Local ID: EXC513OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hv-15550DiVA, id: diva2:1455281
Subject / course
Nationalekonomi
Educational program
Mäklarekonomprogrammet, fastighet och finans
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2020-07-24 Created: 2020-07-23 Last updated: 2020-07-24Bibliographically approved

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