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Faktorer som påverkar prisutvecklingen på småhus i Sverige: En tidsserieanalys som visar finanskrisens (-07) inverkan på den svenska bostadsmarknaden
University West, Department of Economics and IT, Divison of Informatics.
University West, Department of Economics and IT, Divison of Informatics.
2016 (Swedish)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [sv]

Detta examensarbete har sitt huvudsyfte att undersöka vilka faktorer som ligger bakom prisutvecklingen på permanentbostäder i Sverige med finanskrisen 2007 i fokus. En tidsserieanalys har gjorts för att fastställa vilka faktorer som påverkat bostadspriserna samt i vilken utsträckning prisutvecklingen har påverkats till följd av finanskrisen. Undersökningen har avgränsats till ett tidsintervall på 15 år, mellan år 2000-2015. Tre stycken oberoende variabler har analyserats gentemot en beroende variabeln som är fastighetsprisindex. De oberoende variablerna är befolkningstillväxt, disponibel inkomst och reporänta. Dessa är valda utifrån tidigare forskning och har undersökts med hjälp av korrelationsanalys och regressionsanalys. Resultatet från regressionsanalysen visar att variablerna befolkningstillväxt och disponibel inkomst har haft en signifikant betydelse för bostadsmarknadens prissättning under de ovannämnda femton åren. Räntan å andra sidan har inte haft en signifikant betydelse på prisutvecklingen. Finanskrisen i sin tur verkar inte ha haft någon signifikant betydelse för bostadspriserna i Sverige.

Abstract [en]

This thesis has its main purpose to investigate which underlying factors is behind the housing prices for residences in Sweden with the financial crisis 2007 in focus. With the help of a time series analysis, the independent variables has been identified and analyzed through time to give an overview of how the financial crisis affected the housing market in Sweden and how the independent variables have changed because of the financial crisis in Sweden. The study has been limited to a time span of 15 years, between the years 2000-2015. Three independent variables were analyzed against a dependent variable which is the property price. The independent variables are population growth, disposable income and rate. These were selected based on previous research and has been analyzed through correlation analysis, regression analysis and dummy variables. The results of the regression analysis shows that the variables population growth and disposable income has had a significant effect on the housing market's pricing in the aforementioned fifteen years. The interest rate on the other hand has not had a significant impact on prices. The financial crisis, in turn, suggests that there is no significant explanatory value of housing prices in Sweden. The price trend has continued as before, to slowly but surely increase, despite the results in our study of an insignificant financial crisis, which according to previous studies had a major impact on other countries' price trend in the housing market.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2016. , 33 p.
Keyword [en]
Housing price, price trend, interest rate, disposable income, demography, correlation, Regression, dummy variable
Keyword [sv]
Fastighetspris, prisutveckling, ränta, disponibel inkomst, demografi, korrelation, regression, dummyvariabel
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hv:diva-10612Local ID: NAX500OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hv-10612DiVA: diva2:1066376
Subject / course
Nationalekonomi
Educational program
Mäklarekonom
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2017-01-18 Created: 2017-01-18 Last updated: 2017-01-18Bibliographically approved

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